Number of Home Health Workers to decline

The data highlighted in the AARP study is startling. In 2010, there were 7.2 individuals of prime caregiving age — 45 to 64 years old — for every person age 80 or older. By 2030, the “caregiver support ratio” (the proportion of people in prime caregiving years to those age 80 or above) will drop to 4.1, then plunge to 2.9, by 2050, according to AARP’s projections.

“What these numbers tell us is that relying on family and friends to provide long-term care may be unrealistic in the future,” 

All this contradicts some widely held beliefs: 68 percent of Americans age 40 and older are counting on their families to supply long-term care when and if it’s needed, according to a survey by Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research published this year.

The points raised in the report are an important contribution to a discussion now under way as the national Commission on Long-Term Care prepares to issue a report outlining policy recommendations in September.  Data is from AARP